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Red140
586345.4
433657.8
3039105.8
Blue305
218381.8
333762.5
586457.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2212110100300400500140305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.80.0
105.8105.8
Auto9.5
Teleop48.7
End47.6
red by 24.0
2183
#14
81.80.0
81.881.8
Auto8.9
Teleop42.5
End30.4
Second
4336
#19
57.80.0
57.857.8
Auto7.3
Teleop25.7
End24.9
blue by 4.7
62.50.0
62.562.5
Auto8.9
Teleop35.1
End18.5
Third
5863
#20
45.40.0
45.445.4
Auto5.5
Teleop28.2
End11.7
blue by 12.3
5864
#18
57.70.0
57.757.7
Auto4.8
Teleop22.6
End30.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor odds1%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds