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Red170
433657.8
648958.9
218381.8
Blue441
399180.5
3039105.8
222168.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1972870100400500600700170441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2183
#14
81.80.0
81.881.8
Auto8.9
Teleop42.5
End30.4
blue by 24.0
105.80.0
105.8105.8
Auto9.5
Teleop48.7
End47.6
Second
58.90.0
58.958.9
Auto6.4
Teleop30.3
End22.1
blue by 21.6
80.50.0
80.580.5
Auto7.8
Teleop46.2
End26.5
Third
4336
#19
57.80.0
57.857.8
Auto7.3
Teleop25.7
End24.9
blue by 10.9
2221
#23
68.60.0
68.668.6
Auto10.1
Teleop45.5
End13.1