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Red210
128777.5
155371.9
28380.9
Blue223
35994.2
3824113.9
636658.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2402910100200400500600210223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
283
#17
80.91.6
82.380.8
Auto7.0
Teleop42.4
End31.6
blue by 33.0
113.91.5
114.8113.3
Auto16.6
Teleop47.1
End50.2
Second
77.51.6
78.977.3
Auto8.5
Teleop37.3
End31.6
blue by 16.7
359
#14
94.21.5
95.193.6
Auto11.4
Teleop44.3
End38.5
Third
71.91.6
73.471.8
Auto8.9
Teleop35.3
End27.7
red by 13.9
6366
#18
58.01.5
58.957.4
Auto6.5
Teleop33.1
End18.4