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Quarterfinal 2-32017 Palmetto Regional
Red255
28380.9
155371.9
128777.5
Blue168
397649.1
622261.2
496558.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2381670100200300400255168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
283
#17
80.91.3
76.2→77.4
Auto7.0
Teleop42.4
End31.6
red by 19.7
6222
#7
61.20.0
61.3→61.2
Auto10.6
Teleop25.2
End25.5
Second
1287
#6
77.51.3
72.7→74.0
Auto8.5
Teleop37.3
End31.6
red by 19.2
4965
#35
58.30.0
58.3→58.3
Auto8.4
Teleop19.7
End30.3
Third
1553
#4
71.91.3
67.2→68.4
Auto8.9
Teleop35.3
End27.7
red by 22.8
3976
#40
49.10.0
49.2→49.1
Auto5.5
Teleop25.3
End18.3