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Red230
349057.9
218727.5
445189.2
Blue91
261479.1
110261.4
518049.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16017305010020025030035040023091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#11
89.28.5
67.976.4
Auto7.6
Teleop41.9
End39.7
red by 10.1
79.18.0
71.163.1
Auto11.2
Teleop40.1
End27.9
Second
3490
#22
57.98.5
46.554.9
Auto7.0
Teleop32.5
End18.4
blue by 3.5
1102
#24
61.48.0
44.536.5
Auto7.1
Teleop34.4
End19.9
Third
2187
#51
27.58.5
39.447.9
Auto1.5
Teleop23.5
End2.6
blue by 22.0
5180
#46
49.68.0
47.239.3
Auto5.5
Teleop30.3
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed