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Red185
453357.0
402096.9
218727.5
Blue190
349057.9
28173.2
407556.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157177050100200250300350400185190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#30
96.93.7
59.863.4
Auto14.2
Teleop44.4
End38.3
red by 23.7
281
#29
73.20.1
60.160.0
Auto8.0
Teleop35.9
End29.2
Second
4533
#34
57.03.7
44.448.1
Auto2.1
Teleop27.8
End27.1
blue by 0.9
3490
#22
57.90.1
54.954.9
Auto7.0
Teleop32.5
End18.4
Third
2187
#51
27.53.7
47.951.6
Auto1.5
Teleop23.5
End2.6
blue by 29.3
4075
#21
56.80.1
50.650.5
Auto5.9
Teleop30.1
End20.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed