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Red238
155371.9
131974.4
402096.9
Blue85
662623.3
34246.4
502023.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21598030040050060023885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#30
96.95.5
63.469.0
Auto14.2
Teleop44.4
End38.3
red by 50.4
342
#48
46.43.3
40.937.7
Auto0.2
Teleop23.0
End23.2
Second
1319
#13
74.45.5
52.758.2
Auto6.0
Teleop28.7
End39.7
red by 50.5
5020
#61
23.93.3
35.932.6
Auto3.6
Teleop22.5
End-2.1
Third
71.95.5
72.077.6
Auto8.9
Teleop35.3
End27.7
red by 48.7
6626
#42
23.33.3
32.729.4
Auto2.7
Teleop27.7
End-7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed