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Red199
622261.2
261479.1
35994.2
Blue75
32967.5
482320.3
589818.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214127010030040050019975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#14
94.20.9
84.985.8
Auto11.4
Teleop44.3
End38.5
red by 26.8
329
#23
67.59.2
72.663.4
Auto7.7
Teleop34.8
End25.0
Second
79.10.9
64.064.9
Auto11.2
Teleop40.1
End27.9
red by 58.8
4823
#59
20.39.2
31.822.6
Auto1.1
Teleop20.9
End-1.6
Third
61.20.9
42.343.2
Auto10.6
Teleop25.2
End25.5
red by 43.0
5898
#55
18.29.2
28.519.3
Auto0.6
Teleop13.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed