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Red200
139830.5
426573.9
457562.8
Blue235
110261.4
28380.9
407556.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134193050100250300350200235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#32
73.97.2
64.271.3
Auto10.1
Teleop36.4
End27.4
blue by 7.0
283
#17
80.96.6
63.670.2
Auto7.0
Teleop42.4
End31.6
Second
4575
#45
62.87.2
52.059.2
Auto3.7
Teleop41.1
End18.0
red by 1.3
1102
#24
61.46.6
55.362.0
Auto7.1
Teleop34.4
End19.9
Third
1398
#53
30.57.2
19.326.5
Auto5.5
Teleop27.8
End-2.8
blue by 26.3
4075
#21
56.86.6
56.363.0
Auto5.9
Teleop30.1
End20.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed