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Red235
445189.2
424366.0
407448.2
Blue190
281567.9
239386.8
34246.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18421850100150250300350400235190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#11
89.26.2
76.782.8
Auto7.6
Teleop41.9
End39.7
red by 2.4
86.81.3
85.784.4
Auto9.2
Teleop36.6
End41.0
Second
4243
#20
66.05.8
60.266.0
Auto4.4
Teleop33.6
End28.0
blue by 1.9
2815
#31
67.91.3
69.267.9
Auto7.6
Teleop28.2
End32.1
Third
4074
#37
48.25.8
42.448.2
Auto6.4
Teleop31.7
End10.1
red by 1.8
342
#48
46.41.3
47.746.4
Auto0.2
Teleop23.0
End23.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed