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Red271
348983.1
1876105.4
32967.5
Blue305
128777.5
155371.9
28380.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266226100150200300350400450271305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
105.40.8
102.3103.1
Auto14.2
Teleop50.3
End40.9
red by 24.5
283
#17
80.92.7
77.480.1
Auto7.0
Teleop42.4
End31.6
Second
3489
#15
83.10.8
80.281.0
Auto10.0
Teleop40.6
End32.5
red by 5.6
77.52.7
74.076.7
Auto8.5
Teleop37.3
End31.6
Third
329
#23
67.50.8
64.565.3
Auto7.7
Teleop34.8
End25.0
blue by 4.5
71.92.7
68.471.2
Auto8.9
Teleop35.3
End27.7