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Red300
689439.9
4451117.5
175874.4
Blue185
155371.9
3489109.4
2059100.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23430604006008001,0001,2001,4001,600300185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
Unranked
117.50.0
117.5117.5
Auto12.9
Teleop48.8
End55.8
red by 8.0
3489
Unranked
109.40.0
109.4109.4
Auto16.1
Teleop49.8
End43.6
Second
1758
Unranked
74.40.0
74.474.4
Auto9.6
Teleop35.7
End29.1
blue by 25.8
2059
Unranked
100.20.0
100.2100.2
Auto8.4
Teleop49.6
End42.3
Third
6894
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8
blue by 32.0
1553
Unranked
71.90.0
71.971.9
Auto8.9
Teleop35.3
End27.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds2%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds