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Red165
34388.3
281576.7
139830.5
Blue145
3196101.5
28389.0
155371.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19328904006008001,0001,2001,400165145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
Unranked
88.30.0
88.388.3
Auto10.1
Teleop41.4
End36.9
blue by 13.1
3196
Unranked
101.50.0
101.5101.5
Auto12.6
Teleop49.0
End39.9
Second
2815
Unranked
76.70.0
76.776.7
Auto9.5
Teleop37.2
End30.0
blue by 12.3
283
Unranked
89.00.0
89.089.0
Auto11.1
Teleop48.8
End29.1
Third
1398
Unranked
30.50.0
30.530.5
Auto5.5
Teleop27.8
End-2.8
blue by 41.4
1553
Unranked
71.90.0
71.971.9
Auto8.9
Teleop35.3
End27.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor odds2%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds