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Red250
4451117.5
350671.4
397649.1
Blue310
3737107.0
453363.6
349093.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24528205001,0001,5002,000250310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
Unranked
117.50.0
117.5117.5
Auto12.9
Teleop48.8
End55.8
red by 10.5
3737
Unranked
107.00.0
107.0107.0
Auto11.5
Teleop55.2
End40.2
Second
3506
Unranked
71.40.0
71.471.4
Auto10.8
Teleop35.6
End25.0
blue by 21.6
3490
Unranked
93.00.0
93.093.0
Auto10.8
Teleop34.7
End47.4
Third
3976
Unranked
49.10.0
49.149.1
Auto5.5
Teleop25.3
End18.3
blue by 14.5
4533
Unranked
63.60.0
63.663.6
Auto2.7
Teleop30.0
End30.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor odds4%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds