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Red250
349093.0
350671.4
493577.2
Blue160
3489B54.7
689439.9
3489109.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2612080100300400500600700250160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3490
Unranked
93.00.0
93.093.0
Auto10.8
Teleop34.7
End47.4
blue by 16.5
3489
Unranked
109.40.0
109.4109.4
Auto16.1
Teleop49.8
End43.6
Second
4935
Unranked
77.20.0
77.277.2
Auto9.4
Teleop39.3
End28.5
red by 22.5
3489B
Unranked
54.70.0
54.754.7
Auto8.0
Teleop24.9
End21.8
Third
3506
Unranked
71.40.0
71.471.4
Auto10.8
Teleop35.6
End25.0
red by 31.5
6894
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds1%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds