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Red155
34388.3
28389.0
2059100.2
Blue125
689439.9
342B42.6
636682.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3141520100200400500600700800155125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
Unranked
100.20.0
100.2100.2
Auto8.4
Teleop49.6
End42.3
red by 17.4
6366
Unranked
82.80.0
82.882.8
Auto9.1
Teleop39.0
End34.7
Second
283
Unranked
89.00.0
89.089.0
Auto11.1
Teleop48.8
End29.1
red by 46.4
342B
Unranked
42.60.0
42.642.6
Auto3.1
Teleop18.1
End21.4
Third
343
Unranked
88.30.0
88.388.3
Auto10.1
Teleop41.4
End36.9
red by 48.5
6894
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor odds1%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds