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Red475
2084106.4
3452129.2
3683112.6
Blue423
19394.7
2619103.3
3130117.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475402100200300600700475423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
129.20.0
129.1129.2
Auto16.1
Teleop56.2
End56.9
red by 11.4
3130
#10
117.80.4
118.2117.8
Auto12.6
Teleop58.4
End46.8
Second
3683
#12
112.60.0
112.6112.6
Auto13.5
Teleop57.9
End41.3
red by 9.3
103.30.4
103.8103.3
Auto15.1
Teleop46.3
End42.0
Third
2084
#17
106.40.0
106.4106.4
Auto9.8
Teleop53.1
End43.5
red by 11.7
193
#34
94.70.4
95.294.7
Auto8.3
Teleop52.7
End33.7