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Qual 1112017 Tesla Division
Red205
341486.8
662262.8
71469.6
Blue279
450678.0
178187.2
3015111.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2243030100200400500205279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#60
86.81.2
88.0→86.8
Auto12.5
Teleop43.8
End30.5
blue by 24.8
3015
#11
111.60.1
112.9→112.9
Auto18.2
Teleop44.8
End48.6
Second
714
#61
69.61.2
70.7→69.6
Auto9.8
Teleop39.0
End20.7
blue by 17.6
1781
#42
87.20.1
87.1→87.2
Auto8.7
Teleop43.4
End35.0
Third
6622
#59
62.81.2
64.0→62.8
Auto7.3
Teleop31.0
End24.5
blue by 15.2
4506
#37
78.00.1
77.9→78.0
Auto9.7
Teleop38.7
End29.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed2%Pressure oddsEarned