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Red184
552884.1
1023112.9
424151.0
Blue250
203981.1
27179.5
595282.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27725004006008001,0001,200184250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#16
112.95.0
117.9112.9
Auto15.1
Teleop50.8
End47.1
red by 30.8
5952
#56
82.10.6
81.682.1
Auto9.4
Teleop40.2
End32.6
Second
5528
#49
84.15.6
79.473.8
Auto8.6
Teleop42.7
End32.9
red by 3.0
2039
#22
81.10.6
70.971.5
Auto9.5
Teleop42.1
End29.6
Third
4241
#68
51.05.0
62.357.3
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End16.5
blue by 28.5
271
#57
79.50.6
88.989.5
Auto7.5
Teleop34.9
End37.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed