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Red260
203981.1
3452129.2
450678.0
Blue314
2607102.9
3683112.6
170696.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2633380100200300400500600260314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
129.20.0
119.0119.1
Auto16.1
Teleop56.2
End56.9
red by 16.5
3683
#12
112.60.2
111.8112.0
Auto13.5
Teleop57.9
End41.3
Second
2039
#22
81.10.0
70.370.4
Auto9.5
Teleop42.1
End29.6
blue by 21.8
2607
#26
102.90.2
105.4105.6
Auto10.5
Teleop55.1
End37.3
Third
4506
#37
78.00.0
70.270.2
Auto9.7
Teleop38.7
End29.6
blue by 18.8
1706
#40
96.80.2
94.094.1
Auto20.1
Teleop38.3
End38.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed23%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed8%Pressure oddsMissed