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Red156
662262.8
4508101.5
335997.3
Blue181
253796.2
501687.6
460761.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2932770100200400500600156181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4508
#33
101.58.0
107.599.5
Auto12.1
Teleop45.5
End43.9
red by 5.3
2537
#27
96.25.9
107.4101.5
Auto10.2
Teleop46.2
End39.9
Second
3359
#23
97.38.0
100.592.5
Auto11.9
Teleop45.5
End39.9
red by 9.7
5016
#29
87.65.9
96.890.8
Auto8.5
Teleop44.1
End35.0
Third
6622
#59
62.88.9
68.159.2
Auto7.3
Teleop31.0
End24.5
red by 1.4
4607
#63
61.45.9
60.955.0
Auto9.5
Teleop27.3
End24.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed