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Red345
198590.6
3419117.2
1023112.9
Blue352
320181.4
3452129.2
2607102.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324327260280300340360380400345352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.22.3
107.0109.3
Auto12.6
Teleop54.9
End49.7
blue by 12.0
129.22.9
119.2122.1
Auto16.1
Teleop56.2
End56.9
Second
1023
#16
112.92.3
112.9115.2
Auto15.1
Teleop50.8
End47.1
red by 10.0
2607
#26
102.92.9
101.4104.3
Auto10.5
Teleop55.1
End37.3
Third
1985
#64
90.62.3
90.592.8
Auto8.3
Teleop39.6
End42.8
red by 9.2
3201
#39
81.42.9
88.591.4
Auto8.2
Teleop36.0
End37.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsEarned36%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed