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Red295
4485111.7
341486.8
352536.9
Blue335
3452129.2
111102.2
3419117.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2493550100200300400500600295335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4485
#20
111.73.0
111.2114.2
Auto12.9
Teleop53.1
End45.7
blue by 17.4
129.20.7
122.1122.8
Auto16.1
Teleop56.2
End56.9
Second
3414
#60
86.83.0
93.196.1
Auto12.5
Teleop43.8
End30.5
blue by 30.4
117.20.7
109.3110.1
Auto12.6
Teleop54.9
End49.7
Third
3525
#67
36.93.0
45.848.8
Auto5.8
Teleop24.1
End7.0
blue by 65.3
111
#21
102.20.7
92.693.3
Auto7.6
Teleop49.0
End45.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
9%Rotor oddsEarned9%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed