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Red350
2386111.4
1023112.9
170696.8
Blue359
77290.5
2168125.7
3284107.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345356100200300400500600700350359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#16
112.91.1
117.6118.6
Auto15.1
Teleop50.8
End47.1
blue by 12.8
125.71.2
129.2130.3
Auto17.3
Teleop60.8
End47.7
Second
2386
#14
111.41.1
107.0108.1
Auto11.3
Teleop47.2
End52.8
red by 3.4
3284
#28
107.91.2
109.8111.0
Auto14.8
Teleop44.9
End48.2
Third
1706
#40
96.81.1
104.5105.5
Auto20.1
Teleop38.3
End38.4
red by 6.2
772
#45
90.51.2
97.798.8
Auto13.7
Teleop44.0
End32.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
21%Rotor oddsMissed74%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
8%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed