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Qual 742017 Tesla Division
Red205
460761.4
217773.9
542296.6
Blue306
3419117.2
450678.0
354792.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2183140100400500205306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5422
#31
96.61.0
87.4→86.4
Auto11.5
Teleop48.5
End36.6
blue by 20.5
3419
#6
117.22.0
112.3→110.2
Auto12.6
Teleop54.9
End49.7
Second
2177
#48
73.91.0
75.2→74.2
Auto9.7
Teleop28.7
End35.6
blue by 18.6
3547
#32
92.62.0
93.2→91.1
Auto10.9
Teleop38.5
End43.1
Third
4607
#63
61.41.0
56.9→56.0
Auto9.5
Teleop27.3
End24.5
blue by 16.6
4506
#37
78.02.0
80.7→78.7
Auto9.7
Teleop38.7
End29.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed