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Red250
253796.2
320181.4
435668.9
Blue255
395477.8
71469.6
658295.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29627202004006008001,0001,2001,400250255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2537
#27
96.21.9
100.798.9
Auto10.2
Teleop46.2
End39.9
red by 0.8
6582
#18
95.40.4
100.199.7
Auto8.4
Teleop48.6
End38.4
Second
3201
#39
81.41.9
96.995.0
Auto8.2
Teleop36.0
End37.3
red by 3.6
3954
#38
77.80.4
82.982.5
Auto6.5
Teleop35.2
End36.1
Third
4356
#55
68.91.9
80.678.7
Auto9.0
Teleop23.4
End36.5
blue by 0.6
714
#61
69.60.4
78.678.1
Auto9.8
Teleop39.0
End20.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsMissed18%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed