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Qual 862017 Tesla Division
Red309
4508101.5
217773.9
285195.5
Blue208
320181.4
203981.1
1519109.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2803070100200400500309208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4508
#33
101.52.6
99.6→102.2
Auto12.1
Teleop45.5
End43.9
blue by 8.2
1519
#9
109.85.4
111.4→106.0
Auto28.3
Teleop43.0
End38.5
Second
2851
#36
95.52.6
95.5→98.2
Auto7.5
Teleop40.6
End47.4
red by 14.0
3201
#39
81.45.4
95.0→89.6
Auto8.2
Teleop36.0
End37.3
Third
2177
#48
73.92.6
74.2→76.8
Auto9.7
Teleop28.7
End35.6
blue by 7.2
2039
#22
81.15.4
82.2→76.8
Auto9.5
Teleop42.1
End29.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed3%Pressure oddsMissed