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Red191
409851.5
615739.0
314088.6
Blue205
27982.3
665437.7
574446.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167140050100200250300191205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3140
#32
88.60.7
84.385.0
Auto9.2
Teleop35.4
End43.9
red by 6.3
279
#23
82.34.6
68.973.5
Auto12.3
Teleop37.7
End32.3
Second
4098
#44
51.51.2
39.340.5
Auto7.6
Teleop20.1
End23.9
red by 4.9
5744
#41
46.67.6
30.638.2
Auto9.6
Teleop35.2
End1.8
Third
6157
#43
39.01.2
31.732.8
Auto5.3
Teleop24.6
End9.1
red by 1.3
6654
#42
37.77.6
37.044.6
Auto5.8
Teleop25.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed