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Red248
426590.5
128790.2
453363.6
Blue205
396688.6
264199.1
574446.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2442110100300400500248205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.51.4
83.384.6
Auto11.9
Teleop39.2
End39.4
blue by 8.6
2641
#13
99.10.0
100.5100.5
Auto12.6
Teleop43.0
End43.6
Second
90.21.4
85.386.7
Auto9.4
Teleop37.2
End43.7
red by 1.6
3966
#37
88.60.0
74.374.2
Auto7.4
Teleop38.5
End42.8
Third
63.61.4
58.960.3
Auto2.7
Teleop30.0
End30.8
red by 17.0
5744
#41
46.60.0
30.630.6
Auto9.6
Teleop35.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed