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Red255
615739.0
1876108.7
264199.1
Blue285
549292.5
500284.4
80182.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256255180200220240280300320340255285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.70.9
106.4107.2
Auto15.6
Teleop47.5
End45.6
red by 16.2
5492
#11
92.52.8
85.388.1
Auto9.3
Teleop43.8
End39.4
Second
2641
#13
99.10.9
101.9102.8
Auto12.6
Teleop43.0
End43.6
red by 14.7
5002
#25
84.42.8
78.581.2
Auto2.6
Teleop36.4
End45.3
Third
6157
#43
39.01.3
33.534.8
Auto5.3
Teleop24.6
End9.1
blue by 43.8
801
#18
82.82.8
79.882.6
Auto6.9
Teleop32.4
End43.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed