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Red200
128790.2
384371.8
452141.7
Blue195
409851.5
651773.8
426479.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210189050100150250300350400200195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.20.2
88.288.5
Auto9.4
Teleop37.2
End43.7
red by 10.5
79.71.2
71.172.3
Auto7.8
Teleop39.4
End32.5
Second
3843
#29
71.80.3
69.169.5
Auto9.9
Teleop34.8
End27.0
blue by 2.1
6517
#27
73.81.2
71.072.2
Auto6.3
Teleop30.3
End37.2
Third
4521
#12
41.70.2
39.139.3
Auto7.9
Teleop30.5
End3.3
blue by 9.8
4098
#44
51.51.3
40.541.8
Auto7.6
Teleop20.1
End23.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed