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Red205
4020107.5
430659.9
463062.3
Blue235
651773.8
325958.0
128790.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2472250100300400500600205235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.51.8
108.7106.9
Auto17.7
Teleop47.7
End42.1
red by 17.2
90.21.2
88.589.7
Auto9.4
Teleop37.2
End43.7
Second
4630
#46
62.32.4
64.762.3
Auto6.0
Teleop37.9
End18.3
blue by 11.5
6517
#27
73.81.6
72.273.8
Auto6.3
Teleop30.3
End37.2
Third
4306
#28
59.92.6
58.355.7
Auto7.0
Teleop36.8
End16.1
red by 1.9
3259
#31
58.01.6
56.458.0
Auto5.8
Teleop31.1
End21.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed