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Red306
198391.9
512482.4
4468115.6
Blue241
541795.0
641397.3
28389.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285292220240260300320340360306241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4468
#17
115.62.3
105.4107.7
Auto8.8
Teleop54.4
End52.3
red by 18.2
6413
#43
97.32.7
90.487.7
Auto11.2
Teleop40.4
End45.7
Second
1983
#40
91.92.3
89.191.4
Auto14.7
Teleop46.8
End30.4
blue by 3.1
5417
#12
95.02.7
88.185.4
Auto9.2
Teleop48.2
End37.6
Third
5124
#61
82.42.3
77.679.8
Auto11.5
Teleop32.8
End38.0
blue by 6.6
283
#38
89.02.7
98.495.6
Auto11.1
Teleop48.8
End29.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed