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Red250
3997105.8
1661115.7
655495.4
Blue253
1318107.0
2046129.1
641787.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327304150200250350400450500250253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.75.5
114.0108.5
Auto11.6
Teleop55.0
End49.1
blue by 13.4
129.12.6
116.8114.2
Auto14.3
Teleop60.2
End54.6
Second
3997
#16
105.85.5
106.3100.7
Auto9.8
Teleop52.0
End43.9
blue by 1.2
107.02.6
92.589.9
Auto14.5
Teleop51.9
End40.6
Third
6554
#20
95.45.5
87.582.0
Auto5.9
Teleop42.9
End46.6
red by 7.6
6417
#33
87.82.6
82.379.7
Auto9.6
Teleop39.2
End39.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsEarned4%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed