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Red275
4587117.4
590883.5
3245111.9
Blue306
300686.1
1595105.8
215881.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284286220240260300320340360275306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#42
117.40.2
104.4104.7
Auto12.3
Teleop54.3
End50.8
red by 11.6
1595
#24
105.82.4
105.3107.7
Auto15.2
Teleop50.7
End39.9
Second
3245
#31
111.90.2
96.196.3
Auto8.9
Teleop53.9
End49.2
red by 25.8
3006
#41
86.12.4
84.186.5
Auto10.1
Teleop38.7
End37.3
Third
5908
#26
83.50.2
71.371.5
Auto6.1
Teleop35.1
End42.2
red by 2.0
2158
#46
81.42.4
80.082.4
Auto8.4
Teleop37.9
End35.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsEarned0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed