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Red200
564863.1
4451117.5
379467.8
Blue270
5104108.1
299095.7
3997105.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2513030100200400500600200270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.53.0
116.7113.7
Auto12.9
Teleop48.8
End55.8
red by 9.4
108.12.4
97.895.4
Auto10.9
Teleop49.8
End47.4
Second
3794
#52
67.83.0
66.963.8
Auto8.1
Teleop35.0
End24.6
blue by 38.0
3997
#16
105.82.4
100.798.3
Auto9.8
Teleop52.0
End43.9
Third
5648
#63
63.13.0
61.658.6
Auto9.4
Teleop35.3
End18.4
blue by 32.7
2990
#10
95.72.4
82.580.1
Auto11.9
Teleop49.8
End34.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed7%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed