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Red280
321992.5
413591.9
664071.8
Blue285
3245111.9
512482.4
379467.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2252540100200300400500280285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3219
#51
92.53.8
88.191.9
Auto10.3
Teleop44.3
End38.0
blue by 19.4
3245
#31
111.93.1
103.4106.6
Auto8.9
Teleop53.9
End49.2
Second
4135
#21
91.93.8
78.882.6
Auto6.6
Teleop39.3
End46.0
red by 9.6
5124
#61
82.43.1
70.573.6
Auto11.5
Teleop32.8
End38.0
Third
6640
#39
71.83.8
50.754.6
Auto3.7
Teleop43.5
End24.6
red by 4.0
3794
#52
67.83.1
63.867.0
Auto8.1
Teleop35.0
End24.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed