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Red325
188482.5
3997105.8
347693.0
Blue348
1323103.7
641397.3
1661115.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2603250100200300400500325348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3997
#16
105.84.6
100.9105.6
Auto9.8
Teleop52.0
End43.9
blue by 9.9
115.73.2
109.1112.3
Auto11.6
Teleop55.0
End49.1
Second
3476
#11
93.04.6
82.987.5
Auto7.5
Teleop51.2
End34.3
blue by 10.6
1323
#14
103.73.2
100.1103.2
Auto20.7
Teleop48.9
End34.1
Third
1884
#45
82.54.6
71.776.3
Auto6.2
Teleop48.1
End28.1
blue by 14.9
6413
#43
97.33.2
91.494.5
Auto11.2
Teleop40.4
End45.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor oddsEarned1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsEarned