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Red348
16117.9
10891.5
427089.3
Blue385
1323103.7
4451117.5
4206123.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298368100200400500600348385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#2
117.90.4
113.1113.5
Auto19.1
Teleop53.6
End45.1
blue by 5.5
123.43.0
119.5122.5
Auto13.2
Teleop61.2
End48.9
Second
108
#23
91.50.4
88.889.2
Auto8.0
Teleop46.9
End36.6
blue by 26.0
117.53.0
117.7120.6
Auto12.9
Teleop48.8
End55.8
Third
4270
#36
89.30.4
90.290.6
Auto8.2
Teleop47.9
End33.2
blue by 14.3
1323
#14
103.73.0
103.2106.2
Auto20.7
Teleop48.9
End34.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor oddsEarned5%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsEarned