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Red360
1296129.0
247387.5
1323103.7
Blue484
4587117.4
596084.4
4206123.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3763560100200300500600700800360484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
129.01.4
130.4128.9
Auto15.6
Teleop58.8
End54.6
red by 5.7
123.40.6
125.0125.6
Auto13.2
Teleop61.2
End48.9
Second
1323
#14
103.71.4
105.0103.6
Auto20.7
Teleop48.9
End34.1
blue by 13.7
4587
#42
117.40.6
119.0119.6
Auto12.3
Teleop54.3
End50.8
Third
2473
#27
87.51.4
88.987.4
Auto10.8
Teleop48.5
End28.2
red by 3.1
5960
#62
84.40.6
86.086.7
Auto7.6
Teleop41.6
End35.1