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Red238
222168.6
16117.9
3937114.7
Blue481
2046129.1
1318107.0
1595105.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33038602006008001,0001,2001,400238481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#2
117.91.6
121.2119.5
Auto19.1
Teleop53.6
End45.1
blue by 11.2
129.11.1
125.2126.3
Auto14.3
Teleop60.2
End54.6
Second
3937
#35
114.71.6
118.0116.4
Auto13.4
Teleop53.9
End47.4
red by 7.7
107.01.1
103.1104.2
Auto14.5
Teleop51.9
End40.6
Third
2221
#56
68.61.6
71.970.3
Auto10.1
Teleop45.5
End13.1
blue by 37.1
1595
#24
105.81.1
101.9103.0
Auto15.2
Teleop50.7
End39.9