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Quarterfinal 3-22017 Dallas Regional
Red250
174560.9
613367.7
148106.1
Blue200
257652.7
464155.6
407674.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245183050100150300350400250200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#12
106.10.9
102.4→103.3
Auto16.0
Teleop47.8
End42.3
red by 31.3
4076
#13
74.80.4
74.4→74.8
Auto3.2
Teleop33.6
End38.0
Second
6133
#2
67.70.9
64.1→64.9
Auto8.8
Teleop32.9
End25.9
red by 12.1
4641
#9
55.60.4
55.2→55.6
Auto6.4
Teleop27.4
End21.8
Third
1745
#32
60.90.9
56.9→57.9
Auto7.2
Teleop27.0
End26.7
red by 8.2
2576
#10
52.70.5
52.2→52.7
Auto6.1
Teleop27.1
End19.5