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Red155
543177.2
667141.8
635745.6
Blue230
568256.5
652626.0
70473.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148113050200250300155230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#25
77.22.2
64.466.6
Auto12.0
Teleop44.7
End20.5
red by 3.3
704
#16
73.913.1
42.055.1
Auto9.4
Teleop39.3
End25.3
Second
6357
#42
45.62.2
44.847.0
Auto6.1
Teleop25.9
End13.6
blue by 10.9
5682
#24
56.513.1
40.453.5
Auto5.2
Teleop31.0
End20.4
Third
6671
#21
41.82.2
26.128.3
Auto10.0
Teleop25.9
End5.8
red by 15.8
6526
#44
26.013.1
29.642.7
Auto1.3
Teleop19.2
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed