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Red140
665537.7
407674.8
589424.4
Blue170
505745.3
235996.4
303748.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101183050150250300350400140170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4076
#13
74.83.6
61.064.6
Auto3.2
Teleop33.6
End38.0
blue by 21.7
96.40.3
80.580.8
Auto13.3
Teleop37.9
End45.3
Second
6655
#52
37.73.6
27.431.0
Auto6.3
Teleop19.4
End12.0
blue by 11.1
3037
#20
48.90.3
33.333.6
Auto8.2
Teleop18.0
End22.6
Third
5894
#31
24.43.6
19.022.6
Auto8.4
Teleop23.2
End-7.2
blue by 20.8
5057
#28
45.30.3
48.949.1
Auto11.6
Teleop29.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed