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Red267
272369.4
667299.5
284895.6
Blue255
246896.2
420692.2
541766.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289262100200400500600267255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.50.1
101.4101.3
Auto11.0
Teleop34.8
End53.8
red by 3.3
2468
#22
96.20.1
95.495.5
Auto11.9
Teleop40.1
End44.2
Second
95.60.1
97.497.3
Auto12.9
Teleop51.4
End31.3
red by 3.4
92.20.1
91.091.1
Auto14.0
Teleop41.8
End36.4
Third
2723
#17
69.40.1
71.471.3
Auto9.3
Teleop27.1
End32.9
red by 2.6
5417
#29
66.80.1
65.765.8
Auto3.4
Teleop27.0
End36.4