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Red135
45738.3
218371.3
372836.2
Blue185
375349.9
399969.7
258762.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145160050100200250300350400135185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2183
#18
71.30.5
67.266.7
Auto6.1
Teleop30.6
End34.6
red by 1.6
3999
#22
69.73.6
61.765.3
Auto8.8
Teleop29.4
End31.5
Second
457
#38
38.30.5
30.630.1
Auto7.3
Teleop21.5
End9.4
blue by 24.3
2587
#19
62.63.6
54.958.5
Auto8.2
Teleop47.0
End7.4
Third
3728
#28
36.20.5
42.041.5
Auto1.9
Teleop27.8
End6.5
blue by 13.6
3753
#15
49.93.6
33.336.9
Auto-1.1
Teleop33.6
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed