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Red335
552667.2
118131.7
1477104.8
Blue110
258279.8
541462.2
258762.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336207100300400500335110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
131.70.3
130.5130.8
Auto25.5
Teleop67.1
End39.0
red by 51.9
2582
#10
79.83.1
83.180.0
Auto12.6
Teleop29.9
End37.3
Second
104.80.3
103.6103.9
Auto13.7
Teleop42.5
End48.6
red by 42.2
2587
#19
62.63.1
65.862.8
Auto8.2
Teleop47.0
End7.4
Third
5526
#25
67.20.4
65.966.3
Auto7.5
Teleop33.9
End25.8
red by 5.0
62.22.8
65.262.3
Auto5.6
Teleop31.0
End25.6