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Red231
93560.4
181783.8
406362.8
Blue265
384775.9
147796.1
15954.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2052450100300400500600700231265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.80.8
81.482.2
Auto8.1
Teleop39.1
End36.5
blue by 12.3
96.10.9
96.497.3
Auto7.6
Teleop35.6
End52.8
Second
4063
#26
62.80.8
60.561.3
Auto5.8
Teleop32.6
End24.5
blue by 13.1
75.91.0
76.277.2
Auto10.3
Teleop34.9
End30.7
Third
935
#11
60.40.8
58.058.8
Auto1.9
Teleop25.5
End33.0
red by 6.1
159
#18
54.30.9
54.555.5
Auto4.5
Teleop25.4
End24.4