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Red241
93560.4
181783.8
406362.8
Blue220
384775.9
147796.1
15954.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2152440100300400500600700241220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.80.4
84.283.8
Auto8.1
Teleop39.1
End36.5
blue by 12.3
96.10.3
96.496.1
Auto7.6
Teleop35.6
End52.8
Second
4063
#26
62.80.4
63.362.8
Auto5.8
Teleop32.6
End24.5
blue by 13.1
75.90.3
76.275.9
Auto10.3
Teleop34.9
End30.7
Third
935
#11
60.40.4
60.860.4
Auto1.9
Teleop25.5
End33.0
red by 6.1
159
#18
54.30.3
54.654.3
Auto4.5
Teleop25.4
End24.4