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Red190
235268.2
586652.2
460361.7
Blue105
469451.0
15954.3
557281.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123166050100200250300350400190105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2352
#14
68.27.4
55.763.1
Auto8.0
Teleop27.7
End32.5
blue by 13.0
81.25.2
73.668.4
Auto6.0
Teleop27.4
End47.9
Second
4603
#28
61.77.4
32.039.4
Auto5.1
Teleop29.0
End27.6
red by 7.4
159
#18
54.35.2
48.743.5
Auto4.5
Teleop25.4
End24.4
Third
5866
#12
52.27.4
35.542.9
Auto3.1
Teleop23.0
End26.1
red by 1.2
4694
#42
51.05.2
29.424.2
Auto6.5
Teleop15.9
End28.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed